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Arc Day at Parislongchamp

 While we may be more familiar with Irish and UK classics from a geographical point of view, the Arc is the best flat race in the world from a ratings perspective. The fact that we have what has been widely touted as the best Arc in a long time tells you all you need to know about the quality of today's field.

From the moment she crossed the line in second in the Irish Champion Stakes I felt Tarnawa would win and nothing since has changed my mind, even though I am not as definitive as I was then. She has a good draw and should cope with conditions. The problem is that while she is in a stall that you want to be in, she will require luck in running and it is a large field of horses to get through, enhancing the possibility of traffic problems. 

I think the winner will come from one of those at the top of the market and the two Godolphin representatives head those along with Snowfall. The draw and the conditions have brought Hurricane Lane right into it and he has replaced Tarnawa and Adayar as favourite. Snowfall is the one of those that I can't figure out. The image of here Oaks demolition still rests in my mind whenever I see her on a racecard but it fades with every appearance since. It promises to be a brilliant race and one that I no longer have a strong opinion on. Tarnawa for me, just, but happy to watch and enjoy what will hopefully give us a really good champion.

I would like to have an interest in A Case Of You in the Prix de l'Abbaye though who has faired much the best in terms of the draw from those on my initial shortlist. He was a very good second in the Flying Five at the Curragh on Champions weekend in what was remarkably his first try at the minimum trip. He was surely inconvenienced by the draw on that occasion given that high numbers have faired best throughout the year at the Curragh over sprint trips. Despite being drawn out on the wrong wing in 2, he still finished ahead of Glass Slippers, second and first in the last two renewals of this contest. One would think that he should improve from that initial try at the trip. If he can improve on that run, he should surely go close with plenty in his favour. 


0.5pt eway A Case Of You (9/1 General) Parislongchamp 4.25 *4 places


Current P/L since June 2020:

Total Staked: 107.5 points

Total Returned: 146.25 points

Total Profit: 38.75 points

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