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Newmarket - 4th June


I am making a speculative suggestion, with not much catching my eye tomorrow, on outsider Drummond Warrior in the 4.45 at Newmarket. He may be virtually the rank outsider of the field but there are a few reasons why you can make a case for him. Firstly, his trainer Pam Sly has a great record with horses returning from a break of more than 100 days (+48pts to level stakes in the last 5 seasons). Secondly, if you ignore his final two runs of last season, his form is excellent. He was a close second in a course and distance handicap that has worked out extremely well despite only having seven runners. The winner that day (rated 78) has since won twice, off 80 and 85 and placed off his current mark of 93. The third, a further nose back (off 87) has also won twice since and is now rated 101. Just for good measure, the 5th and 6th home also won subsequently. Drummond Warrior can race off a 1lb lower mark here as a result of his two subsequent runs which were simply too poor to be true. Finally, he has had a wind operation since his latest run, maybe offering some explanation for those sub-standard efforts. It is a boom or bust selection as there may be deeper issues with him but at 18/1, I believe there is enough there to suggest it is a somewhat calculated risk.

0.5 pt win Drummond Warrior (18/1 Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor, 16/1 general, use BOG firms) Newmarket 4.45

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