Skip to main content

Ayr Gold Cup

When it comes to big-field sprint handicaps, there are many imponderables to consider. Obviously, if a track bias becomes apparent then that is out of your control when analysing a race the night before but the hope is that Ayr continues to give a fair playing field on that front. I struggled to have a strong opinion on where the pace will be although I was slightly leaning towards middle-low. Anyway, it wasn't enough to eliminate some runners so I went through the majority of the field in good detail. 

David Barron knows a thing or two about training sprinters and it might be worth giving Kynren a chance to prove he can be as good (or better) over 6 furlongs as he is over 7 furlongs and a mile. In fact, while he has good form over a mile, I believe his best form is over 7 furlongs which gives hope that he will be fine over this shorter trip. His form figures over 7 furlongs read 31210 and the most recent effort was in a very hot Listed race at Haydock in June won by Space Blues. Kynren's last win at Ascot last October reads very well now and he was well in command in that contest from a long way out. He runs off just a 4 pound higher mark here with an excellent claimer on board and he is a big price to at least hit the frame. He doesn't need to improve much to go close and if the recent wind op can eek out a little improvement he might just take all the beating. 


0.5pt eway Kynren (20/1 General) Ayr 3.40 *use firms paying 6 places





Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Royal Ascot Day 2

What an amazing day of racing we witnessed yesterday, sheer quality from start to finish. Personally, for me the highlight was Baatash winning the Kings Stand and putting the "myth" about Ascot to bed. There was no shame in being beaten by Blue Point a couple of times but he thoroughly deserved a win at the Royal meeting. For a horse that has achieved so much, I wonder if perhaps he doesn't get the credit he deserves? A debate for another day perhaps as today's card has taken quite a lot of time to go through! Again, my initial thought for day two is proceed with caution. There are a host of difficult handicaps with any amount of potentially well-handicapped horses and the Group races on the card offer little respite in terms of difficulty level. Addeybb would be a strong fancy if the rain arrives in time but to back him now would be guessing. The trendy horse for the day is clearly Ranch Hand for the concluding handicap at 4.40. I don't pay too much attention to ...
Post a Comment
Read more

1000 Guineas Day

The early signs are that the 2000 Guineas was a very good renewal despite the interrupted preparations for the first Classic of the season. The time was the fastest in the races history and the horses that were expected to run well beforehand fought out the finish. I am sure it will produce plenty of winners throughout the season. Of course the first thought for most people will be the Derby and my initial thought is that ante-post favourite prior to the Guineas, Military March, will find it hard enough to reverse the form with Kameko, who was very strong at the finish. Hopefully Kameko will turn up and we will know for sure in a four weeks time. Moving on to Sunday's action and it looks quite a tricky card, with few standout bets, particularly from a price perspective. The Buckhounds Stakes at 1.50 might be the exception as the Mark Johnston trained Communique  looks a worthy favourite. While the price has contracted throughout the day, I still feel he is worth a bet at anything...
Post a Comment
Read more

Saturday 13th November

 Cheltenham is back and I simply cannot hide my excitement for this meeting as it is one of my favourite weekends of the season. I think perhaps it has something to do with the hope and aspirations for the jumps season ahead. At this time of year, there is hardly a day that goes by without a "potential" Grade 1 horse making their debut over either hurdles or fences. Of course, the results vary and there are plenty of bubbles burst! Looking ahead to tomorrow and the feature Paddy Power Gold Cup looks a cracking contest and one could make a reasonable case for at least half of the field. Those of you who read my Eyecatchers column on Attheraces will have seen that I mentioned the run of Zanza in the Haldon Gold Cup recently and I think he looks tailor made for this test, despite having course figures of 60FP.  His run here last December when he fell 3 out in the race won by Sky Pirate was enough to suggest the course should not be a problem. It was probably too far out to know ...
Post a Comment
Read more